NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA HOF
Points 65.3 72.3
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.0 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 28.0
Points From Free Throws 9.8 11.3
Shooting IONA HOF
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 51.8
Field Goal % 39.0% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 26.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 62.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 9.8 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 15.4
Free Throw % 66.3% 73.2%
Ball Control IONA HOF
Rebounds 31.7 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 6.1
Turnovers 9.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.4
Steals 7.0 5.0
Fouls 14.9 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA HOF
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 61.3
% of Possessions with IONA HOF
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 34.0%
Player Fouled 17.1% 21.9%
Turnover 14.0% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA HOF
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 21.6%