NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA NIAG
Points 72.0 69.3
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 17.7
Points From Free Throws 11.3 15.6
Shooting IONA NIAG
Field Goals Made 27.2 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 47.8
Field Goal % 47.1% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 11.3 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 21.0
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.1%
Ball Control IONA NIAG
Rebounds 29.1 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 6.1
Turnovers 8.4 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.9
Steals 8.3 4.2
Fouls 17.6 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Niagara

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA NIAG
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 60.6
% of Possessions with IONA NIAG
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 22.4%
Player Fouled 18.6% 25.8%
Turnover 12.2% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA NIAG
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 22.6%