NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA MRST
Points 62.3 62.9
Total Points   125.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 20.3
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.9
Shooting IONA MRST
Field Goals Made 21.6 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 47.7
Field Goal % 39.5% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 28.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 17.7
Free Throw % 66.3% 72.8%
Ball Control IONA MRST
Rebounds 31.3 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.4
Turnovers 9.7 14.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.6
Steals 8.4 4.9
Fouls 15.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA MRST
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 58.7
% of Possessions with IONA MRST
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.7%
Turnover 14.7% 21.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 12.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA MRST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 22.5%