NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMC UTAH
Points 72.9 61.9
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 15.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 11.2
Shooting SMC UTAH
Field Goals Made 25.9 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 57.4
Field Goal % 43.1% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 14.0 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 18.0
Free Throw % 67.7% 61.8%
Ball Control SMC UTAH
Rebounds 40.7 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 10.3
Turnovers 7.6 10.0
Blocked Shots 6.2 2.9
Steals 5.7 4.2
Fouls 15.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMC UTAH
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 67.6
% of Possessions with SMC UTAH
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 22.1%
Player Fouled 23.4% 22.7%
Turnover 11.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMC UTAH
Shot Blocked 5.2% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 27.3%