NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR TAM
Points 74.7 75.6
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 17.5
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.4
Shooting SCAR TAM
Field Goals Made 26.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 63.4
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 23.1
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.3%
Ball Control SCAR TAM
Rebounds 34.3 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 15.0
Turnovers 9.0 6.2
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.4
Steals 2.8 5.4
Fouls 15.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR TAM
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 77.0
% of Possessions with SCAR TAM
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 51.7%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 23.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.9%
Turnover 13.2% 9.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 4.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR TAM
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 37.3%