NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST BEL
Points 65.6 76.4
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 27.5
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.1
Shooting JVST BEL
Field Goals Made 23.9 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 53.9
Field Goal % 41.0% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 19.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.1%
Ball Control JVST BEL
Rebounds 36.4 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 5.7
Turnovers 11.9 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 15.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST BEL
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 65.1
% of Possessions with JVST BEL
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 29.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 22.2%
Turnover 16.9% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST BEL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 18.9%