NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR UGA
Points 75.4 71.8
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 20.1
Points From Free Throws 11.3 13.3
Shooting SCAR UGA
Field Goals Made 27.8 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 58.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 11.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 18.6
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.6%
Ball Control SCAR UGA
Rebounds 37.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 7.8
Turnovers 8.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.0
Steals 4.3 4.9
Fouls 14.7 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR UGA
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 68.9
% of Possessions with SCAR UGA
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 25.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 21.1%
Turnover 12.5% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR UGA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 22.5%