NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST EKY
Points 67.5 71.2
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 21.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.6
Shooting JVST EKY
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 57.4
Field Goal % 38.2% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 47.3 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.5 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 19.6
Free Throw % 68.8% 69.3%
Ball Control JVST EKY
Rebounds 40.5 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 9.5
Turnovers 9.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.2
Steals 6.1 4.8
Fouls 14.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST EKY
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 69.3
% of Possessions with JVST EKY
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 22.2%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.7%
Turnover 13.3% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST EKY
Shot Blocked 9.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 26.9%