NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR GW
Points 79.7 70.8
Total Points   150.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 11.2 13.3
Shooting SCAR GW
Field Goals Made 29.5 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 57.7
Field Goal % 45.0% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.2 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 17.7
Free Throw % 70.6% 75.4%
Ball Control SCAR GW
Rebounds 39.4 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.0
Turnovers 7.1 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.5
Steals 4.7 4.4
Fouls 13.1 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR GW
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 67.7
% of Possessions with SCAR GW
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 18.0% 18.7%
Turnover 10.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR GW
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 20.2%