NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST SIUE
Points 69.4 65.6
Total Points   135.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 20.8
Points From Free Throws 16.8 13.4
Shooting JVST SIUE
Field Goals Made 23.7 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 56.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 16.8 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 18.3
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.2%
Ball Control JVST SIUE
Rebounds 37.8 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.5
Turnovers 11.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.5
Steals 5.8 5.7
Fouls 14.5 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST SIUE
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 66.9
% of Possessions with JVST SIUE
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.8% 26.0%
Player Fouled 23.4% 21.1%
Turnover 16.4% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST SIUE
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 23.6%