NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST ALA
Points 67.4 91.2
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 13.2 33.7
Points From Free Throws 16.8 18.2
Shooting JVST ALA
Field Goals Made 23.1 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 58.5
Field Goal % 39.5% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 62.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 41.8%
Free Throws Made 16.8 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 23.9
Free Throw % 68.8% 76.4%
Ball Control JVST ALA
Rebounds 32.6 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.8
Turnovers 11.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.5
Steals 6.5 6.4
Fouls 18.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST ALA
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 72.8
% of Possessions with JVST ALA
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 31.7%
Player Fouled 22.8% 24.9%
Turnover 15.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST ALA
Shot Blocked 7.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 31.9%