NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR LIB
Points 76.0 67.3
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 43.8 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 22.8
Points From Free Throws 11.6 8.6
Shooting SCAR LIB
Field Goals Made 28.7 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.8
Field Goal % 51.3% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 61.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 8.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 13.3
Free Throw % 70.6% 64.5%
Ball Control SCAR LIB
Rebounds 35.1 28.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 6.2
Turnovers 8.2 8.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.6
Steals 4.0 3.7
Fouls 13.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR LIB
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 64.0
% of Possessions with SCAR LIB
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 29.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.7%
Turnover 12.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR LIB
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 18.6%