NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR FLA
Points 76.1 80.5
Total Points   156.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 18.3
Points From Free Throws 15.3 16.4
Shooting SCAR FLA
Field Goals Made 26.9 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 62.6
Field Goal % 43.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 22.4
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.2%
Ball Control SCAR FLA
Rebounds 35.0 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.0
Turnovers 8.3 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 6.5
Steals 4.5 5.2
Fouls 15.7 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR FLA
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 76.1
% of Possessions with SCAR FLA
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 20.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.7%
Turnover 11.6% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR FLA
Shot Blocked 10.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 32.7%