NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR TLSA
Points 76.9 66.9
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 15.9
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.1
Shooting SCAR TLSA
Field Goals Made 26.8 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 54.0
Field Goal % 45.3% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 20.5
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.6%
Ball Control SCAR TLSA
Rebounds 38.5 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 6.4
Turnovers 9.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.2
Steals 4.9 5.6
Fouls 15.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR TLSA
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 66.3
% of Possessions with SCAR TLSA
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 23.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 22.5%
Turnover 13.2% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR TLSA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 19.0%