NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST PEAY
Points 71.8 72.0
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 12.4 21.9
Points From Free Throws 17.3 14.4
Shooting JVST PEAY
Field Goals Made 25.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 55.6
Field Goal % 47.0% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 17.3 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 20.3
Free Throw % 68.8% 70.9%
Ball Control JVST PEAY
Rebounds 37.5 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 21.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.1
Turnovers 10.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.3
Steals 4.4 6.1
Fouls 15.2 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST PEAY
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 67.3
% of Possessions with JVST PEAY
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 16.7% 24.8%
Player Fouled 24.4% 22.4%
Turnover 15.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST PEAY
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 36.4% 24.1%