NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST BELL
Points 70.9 65.8
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 22.0
Points From Free Throws 14.9 9.8
Shooting JVST BELL
Field Goals Made 25.2 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 55.9
Field Goal % 45.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 13.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 75.6%
Ball Control JVST BELL
Rebounds 39.1 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 5.3
Turnovers 9.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.6
Steals 4.9 4.6
Fouls 12.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST BELL
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 63.3
% of Possessions with JVST BELL
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 27.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.1%
Turnover 14.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST BELL
Shot Blocked 2.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.2% 15.9%