NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST FIU
Points 70.3 68.5
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 24.2
Points From Free Throws 15.3 11.2
Shooting JVST FIU
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 56.5
Field Goal % 45.9% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.5 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.3 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 17.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 65.0%
Ball Control JVST FIU
Rebounds 40.9 27.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 19.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 7.6
Turnovers 15.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.8
Steals 6.2 8.8
Fouls 14.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST FIU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 66.8
% of Possessions with JVST FIU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 16.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.5%
Turnover 22.1% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST FIU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 41.0% 21.8%