NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST MURR
Points 63.9 69.7
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 20.1
Points From Free Throws 11.7 12.9
Shooting JVST MURR
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 53.0
Field Goal % 44.3% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 18.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 68.9%
Ball Control JVST MURR
Rebounds 33.7 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.1
Turnovers 11.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.5
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 14.5 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST MURR
Total Possessions 65.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 63.9
% of Possessions with JVST MURR
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 24.5%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.1%
Turnover 18.1% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST MURR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 23.0%