NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST WICH
Points 65.4 70.7
Total Points   136.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 17.2
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.4
Shooting JVST WICH
Field Goals Made 23.9 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 56.4
Field Goal % 39.9% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 17.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 69.7%
Ball Control JVST WICH
Rebounds 36.9 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 8.5
Turnovers 10.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.5
Steals 7.1 6.1
Fouls 13.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST WICH
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 66.9
% of Possessions with JVST WICH
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 20.3%
Player Fouled 19.3% 19.6%
Turnover 15.0% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST WICH
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 25.8%