NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR AUB
Points 64.7 78.8
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 18.6
Points From Free Throws 17.1 15.8
Shooting SCAR AUB
Field Goals Made 20.7 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 58.0
Field Goal % 35.3% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 38.1% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.1 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 21.1
Free Throw % 70.6% 74.8%
Ball Control SCAR AUB
Rebounds 35.4 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.4
Turnovers 9.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 7.7
Steals 4.4 5.6
Fouls 15.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR AUB
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 70.7
% of Possessions with SCAR AUB
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 22.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.9%
Turnover 13.8% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR AUB
Shot Blocked 13.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 28.9%