NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST TNST
Points 66.2 68.0
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.6 10.2
Shooting JVST TNST
Field Goals Made 22.8 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 52.1
Field Goal % 38.9% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.6 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 15.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 65.1%
Ball Control JVST TNST
Rebounds 34.9 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 7.2
Turnovers 11.5 16.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.5
Steals 6.0 4.8
Fouls 14.0 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST TNST
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 62.3
% of Possessions with JVST TNST
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 25.4%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.6%
Turnover 16.0% 22.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST TNST
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 23.9%