NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST TNST
Points 68.8 65.7
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 12.7 17.5
Points From Free Throws 19.6 16.4
Shooting JVST TNST
Field Goals Made 22.5 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 50.2
Field Goal % 43.2% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 19.6 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 28.5 21.5
Free Throw % 68.8% 76.1%
Ball Control JVST TNST
Rebounds 36.8 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 7.0
Turnovers 11.9 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.9
Steals 7.4 5.8
Fouls 16.5 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST TNST
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 62.9
% of Possessions with JVST TNST
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 21.8%
Player Fouled 26.7% 23.8%
Turnover 17.1% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST TNST
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 36.7% 22.5%