NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR LSU
Points 74.0 73.0
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 18.9
Points From Free Throws 13.5 14.4
Shooting SCAR LSU
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 57.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 13.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 19.6
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.3%
Ball Control SCAR LSU
Rebounds 35.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.5 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.4
Steals 5.4 5.9
Fouls 14.1 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR LSU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 68.7
% of Possessions with SCAR LSU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 21.9%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.3%
Turnover 13.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR LSU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 26.6%