NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST UTAH
Points 63.1 79.9
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 28.4
Points From Free Throws 11.8 11.8
Shooting JVST UTAH
Field Goals Made 23.1 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 57.4
Field Goal % 37.8% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 41.4%
Free Throws Made 11.8 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 18.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 63.4%
Ball Control JVST UTAH
Rebounds 34.9 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 7.7
Turnovers 10.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.0
Steals 5.8 5.5
Fouls 16.1 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST UTAH
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 68.5
% of Possessions with JVST UTAH
2 Point Attempt 53.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 28.5%
Player Fouled 19.2% 22.6%
Turnover 14.2% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST UTAH
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 24.3%