NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR UK
Points 74.8 83.3
Total Points   158.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 47.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 22.2
Points From Free Throws 14.4 14.1
Shooting SCAR UK
Field Goals Made 25.5 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 61.8
Field Goal % 40.0% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.1
Free Throw % 70.6% 78.2%
Ball Control SCAR UK
Rebounds 36.1 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.1
Turnovers 9.0 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 7.7
Steals 4.2 5.7
Fouls 14.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR UK
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 72.4
% of Possessions with SCAR UK
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 22.8%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.1%
Turnover 12.5% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR UK
Shot Blocked 12.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 24.6%