NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA UGA
Points 86.2 77.8
Total Points   164.0
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 21.9
Points From Free Throws 15.7 17.1
Shooting FLA UGA
Field Goals Made 31.2 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 67.4 62.2
Field Goal % 46.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 15.7 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 23.9
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.6%
Ball Control FLA UGA
Rebounds 43.7 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 8.5
Turnovers 9.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.0
Steals 6.1 5.9
Fouls 16.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA UGA
Total Possessions 76.8
Effective Scoring Chances 80.8 75.5
% of Possessions with FLA UGA
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 24.7%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.6%
Turnover 12.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA UGA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 21.9%