NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA BC
Points 82.5 77.8
Total Points   160.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 21.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 14.0
Shooting FLA BC
Field Goals Made 29.2 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 63.3
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 43.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 18.9
Free Throw % 73.2% 74.4%
Ball Control FLA BC
Rebounds 41.7 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 8.7
Turnovers 8.9 8.6
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.1
Steals 5.8 5.5
Fouls 15.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA BC
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 77.9 73.8
% of Possessions with FLA BC
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 24.1%
Player Fouled 21.1% 20.3%
Turnover 12.1% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA BC
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 23.3%