NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA TENN
Points 73.5 82.6
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 23.0
Points From Free Throws 18.6 19.0
Shooting FLA TENN
Field Goals Made 23.7 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 63.7
Field Goal % 38.1% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 18.6 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 25.2
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.4%
Ball Control FLA TENN
Rebounds 40.6 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.7
Turnovers 11.0 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.4
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 17.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA TENN
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 77.7 78.9
% of Possessions with FLA TENN
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 25.3%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.7%
Turnover 14.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA TENN
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 29.9%