NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA UK
Points 86.7 90.5
Total Points   177.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 48.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 24.4
Points From Free Throws 19.9 18.2
Shooting FLA UK
Field Goals Made 29.0 32.1
Field Goals Attempted 68.6 66.3
Field Goal % 42.3% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 45.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 19.9 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 23.3
Free Throw % 73.2% 78.2%
Ball Control FLA UK
Rebounds 42.1 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 8.8
Turnovers 9.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.8
Steals 5.9 6.8
Fouls 16.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA UK
Total Possessions 79.9
Effective Scoring Chances 84.5 79.5
% of Possessions with FLA UK
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 22.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.6%
Turnover 12.2% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA UK
Shot Blocked 8.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.2% 24.1%