NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA KSU
Points 81.1 75.6
Total Points   156.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 18.3
Points From Free Throws 20.5 19.3
Shooting FLA KSU
Field Goals Made 26.9 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 58.4
Field Goal % 41.2% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.4 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 20.5 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 28.0 26.8
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.9%
Ball Control FLA KSU
Rebounds 42.4 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 15.6 10.3
Turnovers 9.0 12.2
Blocked Shots 5.9 3.4
Steals 7.6 5.1
Fouls 17.8 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA KSU
Total Possessions 75.9
Effective Scoring Chances 82.6 74.0
% of Possessions with FLA KSU
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 22.0%
Player Fouled 22.9% 23.5%
Turnover 11.8% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA KSU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 36.8% 27.7%