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Marquette at Wisconsin
Sat Dec 4, 2021
12:30pm ET
Madison, WI
Marquette at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 6.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MARQ | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-15-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-8-0 | 11-12-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-5-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 10-10-1 | 8-11-0 |
Marquette Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Illinois | -25.0 | W by 22 | -3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Rider | -24.0 | W by 30 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Illinois | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UCLA | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Southern | -32.0 | W by 37 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Wisconsin | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Texas | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Notre Dame | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | St. Thomas | -23.5 | W by 5 | -18.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Providence | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Georgetown | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Creighton | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Seton Hall | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Butler | -11.5 | L by 7 | -18.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Villanova | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | St Johns | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | DePaul | -18.0 | W by 13 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Villanova | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgetown | -12.0 | W by 34 | +22.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | St Johns | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Butler | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 28 | -21.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | DePaul | -27.5 | W by 34 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Providence | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Creighton | +8.0 | L by 14 | -6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Connecticut | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Xavier | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Providence | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Connecticut | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | W Kentucky | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Colorado | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | NC State | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Providence | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Rob Morris | -20.0 | W by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Virginia | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | W Illinois | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Marquette | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan St | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -19.0 | W by 15 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | W by 27 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nebraska | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio St | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Northwestern | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Penn St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | (Pick) | L by 8 | -8.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Purdue | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rutgers | -3.5 | L by 22 | -25.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Ohio St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | W by 31 | +27.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Purdue | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Illinois | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | James Mad | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| WIS -6.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2785 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 2015 times (72.4%).
- The team like Marquette won the game 770 times (27.6%).
- The team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 1382-1354-49 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4314 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Marquette did better against the spread, going 2120-2107-87 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -7.0 | -6.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/04 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/04 12:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/04 11:49 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:11 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/04 10:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/04 10:07 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/04 09:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/04 09:49 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:29 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/04 09:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/04 08:58 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/04 08:11 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/04 07:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/04 07:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/04 06:55 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/04 05:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/04 04:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/04 04:19 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/04 02:40 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/03 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/03 09:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/03 09:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/03 08:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/03 07:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/03 07:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/03 06:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/03 06:40 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 06:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 05:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/03 05:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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