NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MARQ DEP
Points 89.0 61.2
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 44.7 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.7 21.2
Points From Free Throws 10.6 11.5
Shooting MARQ DEP
Field Goals Made 33.6 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 53.0
Field Goal % 54.9% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 66.7% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 10.6 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 15.6
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.8%
Ball Control MARQ DEP
Rebounds 34.8 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 7.3
Turnovers 8.2 15.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.2
Steals 9.1 4.5
Fouls 13.6 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MARQ DEP
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 62.5
% of Possessions with MARQ DEP
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 26.8%
Player Fouled 17.3% 19.4%
Turnover 11.6% 21.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 13.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MARQ DEP
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 21.8%