NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC OHIO
Points 62.8 79.3
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 29.4
Points From Free Throws 10.8 12.2
Shooting TNTC OHIO
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 59.5
Field Goal % 42.6% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 10.8 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 16.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 74.1%
Ball Control TNTC OHIO
Rebounds 31.5 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 8.2
Turnovers 12.9 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.0
Steals 3.8 7.0
Fouls 13.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC OHIO
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 63.0 69.4
% of Possessions with TNTC OHIO
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 33.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 19.6%
Turnover 18.6% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC OHIO
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 24.6%