NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MARQ BUT
Points 82.0 71.4
Total Points   153.4
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 28.0
Points From Free Throws 8.4 11.3
Shooting MARQ BUT
Field Goals Made 32.3 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 60.0
Field Goal % 50.2% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 8.4 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 12.1 14.1
Free Throw % 69.1% 80.2%
Ball Control MARQ BUT
Rebounds 35.3 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.1 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.6
Steals 8.8 5.0
Fouls 12.1 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MARQ BUT
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 68.6
% of Possessions with MARQ BUT
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 32.4%
Player Fouled 15.7% 16.8%
Turnover 12.5% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MARQ BUT
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 24.9%