ATS Situational Trends

Record USM adv NWST
Season 11-16-3 15-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-9-2 10-9-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 3-5-2 5-5-0
Home 6-4-2 5-6-0
Away 5-12-1 10-9-0

S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home William Carey -- W by 22 --
11/10 Away Akron +7.5 L by 18 -10.5
11/15 Home Xavier (LA) -- W by 31 --
11/19 Neutral Utah Valley -2.0 L by 2 -4.0
11/20 Neutral CS Fullerton -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
11/22 Home S Dakota St +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
11/25 Away WI-Milwkee +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
12/01 Away UAB +9.5 W by 3 +12.5
12/09 Home NW State -15.0 W by 9 -6.0
12/13 Away McNeese St +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
12/18 Away Lamar -3.0 W by 3 0.0
12/23 Neutral Mississippi -9.0 L by 17 -26.0
12/30 Away GA Southern -4.0 L by 21 -25.0
01/04 Home Georgia St -3.0 W by 6 +3.0
01/06 Home James Mad +7.5 W by 10 +17.5
01/11 Away UL Monroe -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/13 Away Troy +4.5 L by 26 -21.5
01/17 Home Arkansas St +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
01/20 Home Troy +2.0 W by 1 +3.0
01/24 Away Coastal Car -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
01/27 Away Marshall +4.0 L by 16 -12.0
01/31 Away Arkansas St +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
02/03 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
02/07 Home Old Dominion -5.0 W by 5 0.0
02/10 Home W Michigan -7.5 W by 32 +24.5
02/15 Home UL Monroe -7.5 L by 9 -16.5
02/17 Home Texas St -4.0 W by 4 0.0
02/22 Home S Alabama -4.0 L by 19 -23.0
02/24 Home Louisiana +2.5 W by 11 +13.5
02/28 Away S Alabama +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
03/01 Away Louisiana +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
03/07 Neutral Texas St -2.5 L by 16 -18.5

NW State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Dallas Christian -- W by 47 --
11/09 Away Tulane +18.5 L by 17 +1.5
11/13 Home Ste F Austin +13.0 L by 26 -13.0
11/16 Neutral Maine +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
11/17 Away N Florida +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
11/18 Neutral Presbyterian +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
11/28 Away UL Monroe +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
12/02 Away Baylor +34.0 L by 51 -17.0
12/09 Away S Mississippi +15.0 L by 9 +6.0
12/12 Away Boise St +23.5 L by 41 -17.5
12/16 Home Rice +11.0 L by 25 -14.0
12/19 Home Southern-New Orleans -- W by 24 --
12/29 Away LSU +25.0 L by 41 -16.0
01/06 Away Lamar +10.5 L by 20 -9.5
01/08 Home McNeese St +19.0 L by 9 +10.0
01/13 Home Incar Word +2.5 W by 26 +28.5
01/15 Home Hsn Christian -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/20 Away New Orleans +7.0 W by 25 +32.0
01/22 Away SE Louisiana +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
01/27 Home TX A&M-CC +6.0 L by 11 -5.0
01/29 Away McNeese St +19.5 L by 24 -4.5
02/03 Home TX A&M-Com -1.5 W by 13 +11.5
02/05 Away Nicholls +6.0 L by 7 -1.0
02/10 Home SE Louisiana +1.0 L by 10 -9.0
02/12 Home New Orleans -2.5 W by 11 +8.5
02/17 Away Incar Word +3.5 W by 20 +23.5
02/19 Away TX A&M-CC +12.5 L by 11 +1.5
02/24 Away Hsn Christian -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
03/02 Home Lamar +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
03/04 Home Nicholls +2.0 L by 6 -4.0
03/06 Away TX A&M-Com +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
03/10 Neutral TX A&M-Com -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
USM -6.5 Open -4.0 High -6.5
Last -6.0 Low -4.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1187 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Southern Miss won the game 852 times (71.8%).
  • The team like Northwestern St. won the game 335 times (28.2%).
  • The team like Southern Miss did better against the spread, going 584-579-24 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 493 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Northwestern St. did better against the spread, going 256-233-4 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -6.0 -- --
Open -5.0 -- --
History
12/04 03:52 PM -6.0 -- --
12/04 12:46 PM -6.0 -- --
12/04 12:13 PM -6.0 -- --
12/04 11:43 AM -6.5 -- --
12/04 11:19 AM -6.5 -- --
12/04 10:37 AM -6.5 -- --
12/04 10:10 AM -6.5 -- --
12/04 09:43 AM -6.0 -- --
12/04 09:26 AM -5.5 -- --
12/04 08:52 AM -5.0 -- --
12/04 08:22 AM -5.0 -- --