NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC JVST
Points 62.5 69.9
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 15.9
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.8
Shooting TNTC JVST
Field Goals Made 22.8 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 57.0
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 17.2
Free Throw % 69.5% 68.8%
Ball Control TNTC JVST
Rebounds 27.8 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 4.8 10.7
Turnovers 12.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.0
Steals 4.5 7.1
Fouls 13.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC JVST
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 60.4 68.1
% of Possessions with TNTC JVST
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 20.8%
Player Fouled 21.0% 19.7%
Turnover 17.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC JVST
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 15.3% 31.7%