NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC PEAY
Points 68.8 77.6
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 24.5
Points From Free Throws 12.5 11.7
Shooting TNTC PEAY
Field Goals Made 25.4 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 60.1
Field Goal % 47.7% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 12.5 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 16.4
Free Throw % 69.5% 70.9%
Ball Control TNTC PEAY
Rebounds 30.8 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 9.1
Turnovers 10.6 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.8
Steals 3.2 6.8
Fouls 12.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC PEAY
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 70.1
% of Possessions with TNTC PEAY
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 28.3%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.9%
Turnover 15.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC PEAY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 26.9%