NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC IND
Points 58.5 80.5
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 17.7
Points From Free Throws 9.5 12.0
Shooting TNTC IND
Field Goals Made 21.1 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 57.0
Field Goal % 37.0% 54.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.3% 63.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 9.5 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 18.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 65.9%
Ball Control TNTC IND
Rebounds 27.2 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 8.1
Turnovers 10.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.4
Steals 5.1 5.5
Fouls 14.9 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC IND
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 68.3
% of Possessions with TNTC IND
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 21.6%
Player Fouled 18.1% 21.5%
Turnover 15.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC IND
Shot Blocked 7.7% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 15.8% 27.7%