NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU TCU
Points 67.0 84.1
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 45.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 21.2
Points From Free Throws 12.4 17.5
Shooting ORU TCU
Field Goals Made 23.4 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 62.9
Field Goal % 41.4% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 12.4 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 24.0
Free Throw % 77.1% 72.7%
Ball Control ORU TCU
Rebounds 28.6 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 14.4
Turnovers 12.6 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.1
Steals 4.3 7.2
Fouls 16.3 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU TCU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 77.8
% of Possessions with ORU TCU
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 20.3%
Player Fouled 17.9% 22.6%
Turnover 17.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU TCU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 39.1%