NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC XAV
Points 63.2 84.6
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 47.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 23.2
Points From Free Throws 9.6 14.4
Shooting TNTC XAV
Field Goals Made 24.0 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 60.8
Field Goal % 41.7% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 9.6 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 19.0
Free Throw % 69.5% 75.8%
Ball Control TNTC XAV
Rebounds 27.8 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 9.9
Turnovers 11.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.8
Steals 4.2 7.1
Fouls 14.6 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC XAV
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 72.4
% of Possessions with TNTC XAV
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 25.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.4%
Turnover 16.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC XAV
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 15.7% 30.7%