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S Mississippi at Georgia St
Sat Feb 4, 2023
2:00pm ET
Atlanta, GA
S Mississippi at Georgia St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Miss by 3.5, Total Points: 134.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USM | adv | GSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-16-3 | 13-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-9-2 | 8-10-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-2 | 6-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-12-1 | 7-10-0 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | William Carey | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Akron | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Xavier (LA) | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Utah Valley | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | CS Fullerton | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Dakota St | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | UAB | +9.5 | W by 3 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NW State | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 19 | -12.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Lamar | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Mississippi | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | GA Southern | -4.0 | L by 21 | -25.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Georgia St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | James Mad | +7.5 | W by 10 | +17.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | UL Monroe | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Troy | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Arkansas St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Troy | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Marshall | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Arkansas St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas St | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Michigan | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | UL Monroe | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas St | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | S Alabama | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Louisiana | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | S Alabama | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Texas St | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
Georgia St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Belmont | +7.0 | L by 2 | +5.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | W Michigan | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | N Illinois | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | AR Lit Rock | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Charlotte | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kennesaw St | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Middle Georgia St. | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | Mercer | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | BYU | +24.0 | L by 32 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Toccoa Falls | -- | W by 77 | -- |
| 12/30 | Home | Arkansas St | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | S Mississippi | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Alabama | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Old Dominion | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Southern | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | App State | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Southern | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Marshall | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Coastal Car | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | App State | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Troy | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | W by 9 | +17.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Miami (OH) | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | James Mad | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Old Dominion | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | James Mad | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Marshall | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Marshall | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| USM -3.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2255 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Miss won the game 1334 times (59.2%).
- The team like Georgia St. won the game 921 times (40.8%).
- The team like Georgia St. did better against the spread, going 1141-1070-44 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3486 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Miss did better against the spread, going 1719-1695-72 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 01:40 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 09:14 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:08 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/04 01:40 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 12:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/03 09:46 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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