NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU DEN
Points 80.2 78.1
Total Points   158.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 26.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 15.4
Shooting ORU DEN
Field Goals Made 28.7 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 61.8
Field Goal % 47.0% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.7 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 21.8
Free Throw % 77.1% 70.7%
Ball Control ORU DEN
Rebounds 35.7 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 10.1
Turnovers 8.7 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.4
Steals 3.9 4.9
Fouls 16.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU DEN
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 74.6
% of Possessions with ORU DEN
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 22.7%
Turnover 12.0% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU DEN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 26.3%