NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC EVAN
Points 63.0 73.6
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 9.6 10.1
Shooting TNTC EVAN
Field Goals Made 23.2 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 57.6
Field Goal % 42.4% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 9.6 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 14.4
Free Throw % 69.5% 69.9%
Ball Control TNTC EVAN
Rebounds 31.0 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 6.7
Turnovers 12.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.2
Steals 4.9 6.9
Fouls 13.1 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC EVAN
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 66.3
% of Possessions with TNTC EVAN
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 27.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 18.9%
Turnover 17.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC EVAN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 17.0% 21.0%