NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC MURR
Points 62.5 75.3
Total Points   137.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 22.4
Points From Free Throws 8.6 10.4
Shooting TNTC MURR
Field Goals Made 23.4 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 57.2
Field Goal % 45.0% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 8.6 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 15.1
Free Throw % 69.5% 68.9%
Ball Control TNTC MURR
Rebounds 28.1 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 4.9 8.0
Turnovers 12.1 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.1
Steals 3.6 6.4
Fouls 12.3 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC MURR
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 59.1 66.5
% of Possessions with TNTC MURR
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 19.5% 18.6%
Turnover 18.3% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC MURR
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.3% 25.8%