NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU WICH
Points 69.2 75.5
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 18.3
Points From Free Throws 10.8 12.7
Shooting ORU WICH
Field Goals Made 24.7 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 62.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 10.8 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 18.2
Free Throw % 77.1% 69.7%
Ball Control ORU WICH
Rebounds 33.2 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.7
Turnovers 9.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.9
Steals 5.2 5.3
Fouls 13.7 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU WICH
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 73.7
% of Possessions with ORU WICH
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 21.0%
Player Fouled 16.1% 19.3%
Turnover 12.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU WICH
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 31.6%