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Marquette at N Carolina
Wed Feb 24, 2021
7:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Marquette at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 9.5, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MARQ | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-15-1 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-8-0 | 13-10-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-5-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-10-1 | 13-9-0 |
Marquette Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Illinois | -25.0 | W by 22 | -3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Rider | -24.0 | W by 30 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Illinois | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UCLA | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Southern | -32.0 | W by 37 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Wisconsin | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Texas | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Notre Dame | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | St. Thomas | -23.5 | W by 5 | -18.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Providence | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Georgetown | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Creighton | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Seton Hall | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Butler | -11.5 | L by 7 | -18.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Villanova | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | St Johns | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | DePaul | -18.0 | W by 13 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Villanova | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgetown | -12.0 | W by 34 | +22.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | St Johns | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Butler | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 28 | -21.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | DePaul | -27.5 | W by 34 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Providence | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Creighton | +8.0 | L by 14 | -6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Connecticut | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Xavier | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Providence | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Connecticut | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | W Kentucky | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Colorado | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | NC State | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| UNC -9.5 | Open | -8.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2219 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 1833 times (82.6%).
- The team like Marquette won the game 386 times (17.4%).
- The team like Marquette did better against the spread, going 1107-1079-33 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 419 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Marquette did better against the spread, going 220-197-2 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| Open | -8.0 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/24 06:56 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:23 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:20 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:05 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 03:05 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 02/24 10:04 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 02/24 09:56 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:54 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 02/24 09:38 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:05 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 02/24 08:53 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:44 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 02/24 04:26 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:44 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 01:55 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/23 11:24 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 02/23 10:20 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:44 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
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