NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC MEM
Points 64.0 85.2
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 45.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 26.1
Points From Free Throws 9.4 14.0
Shooting TNTC MEM
Field Goals Made 23.4 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 60.9
Field Goal % 41.1% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 61.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 9.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 19.2
Free Throw % 69.5% 72.7%
Ball Control TNTC MEM
Rebounds 28.6 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 10.7
Turnovers 14.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.8
Steals 4.5 8.9
Fouls 14.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC MEM
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 72.9
% of Possessions with TNTC MEM
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 28.7%
Player Fouled 18.6% 20.0%
Turnover 19.6% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC MEM
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 32.9%