NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC TNST
Points 72.5 78.1
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 19.1
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.4
Shooting TNTC TNST
Field Goals Made 24.5 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 62.4
Field Goal % 41.4% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.0
Free Throw % 70.4% 69.1%
Ball Control TNTC TNST
Rebounds 33.1 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.8
Turnovers 10.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.6
Steals 6.4 6.7
Fouls 13.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC TNST
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 74.2
% of Possessions with TNTC TNST
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 22.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 18.1%
Turnover 14.7% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC TNST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 32.7%