NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC TNST
Points 68.5 80.0
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 16.8 14.6
Shooting TNTC TNST
Field Goals Made 22.8 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 61.9
Field Goal % 43.4% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 16.8 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 18.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 76.8%
Ball Control TNTC TNST
Rebounds 32.3 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.6
Turnovers 13.6 8.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.2
Steals 4.8 8.5
Fouls 13.5 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tenn Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC TNST
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 73.9
% of Possessions with TNTC TNST
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 21.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.1%
Turnover 19.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC TNST
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 33.0%