NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU STT
Points 67.4 72.0
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 27.1
Points From Free Throws 10.4 12.6
Shooting ORU STT
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 55.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 10.4 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 17.5
Free Throw % 77.1% 71.9%
Ball Control ORU STT
Rebounds 31.0 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 7.3
Turnovers 10.1 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.7
Steals 4.0 5.0
Fouls 15.9 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU STT
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 61.8 65.4
% of Possessions with ORU STT
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 33.0%
Player Fouled 19.1% 24.0%
Turnover 15.3% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU STT
Shot Blocked 3.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 22.5%