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S Mississippi at Troy
Thu Feb 2, 2023
7:00pm ET
Troy, AL
S Mississippi at Troy: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Troy by 1, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USM | adv | TROY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-16-3 | 18-10-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-9-2 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-2 | 11-2-1 | |
| Away | 5-12-1 | 7-8-0 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | William Carey | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Akron | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Xavier (LA) | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Utah Valley | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | CS Fullerton | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Dakota St | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | UAB | +9.5 | W by 3 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NW State | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 19 | -12.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Lamar | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Mississippi | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | GA Southern | -4.0 | L by 21 | -25.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Georgia St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | James Mad | +7.5 | W by 10 | +17.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | UL Monroe | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Troy | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Arkansas St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Troy | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Marshall | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Arkansas St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas St | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Michigan | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | UL Monroe | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas St | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | S Alabama | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Louisiana | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | S Alabama | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Texas St | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | University of Fort Lauderdale | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 11/08 | Away | Ohio | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Oregon St | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 65 | -- |
| 11/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Grambling St | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SIU Edward | -5.5 | W by 23 | +17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Dayton | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Mississippi | +13.0 | L by 21 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Old Dominion | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | App State | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisiana | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Texas St | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | GA Southern | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgia St | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Marshall | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Kent St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Arkansas St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.5 | W by 28 | +15.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UL Monroe | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Louisiana | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Texas St | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Texas St | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| TROY -1.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2082 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Troy won the game 1127 times (54.1%).
- The team like Southern Miss won the game 955 times (45.9%).
- The team like Troy did better against the spread, going 1039-1000-43 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4969 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Miss did better against the spread, going 2470-2396-103 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/02 06:53 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 06:27 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 05:55 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/02 04:19 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 01:31 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 12:34 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 12:07 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 10:45 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 02/02 10:10 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 08:04 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 01:52 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/01 05:46 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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