NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MARQ KSU
Points 75.8 66.3
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.4 13.3
Shooting MARQ KSU
Field Goals Made 27.1 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 55.4
Field Goal % 44.1% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 18.5
Free Throw % 68.8% 71.9%
Ball Control MARQ KSU
Rebounds 34.2 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.3
Turnovers 8.8 15.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.1
Steals 9.2 4.7
Fouls 14.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MARQ KSU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 67.5
% of Possessions with MARQ KSU
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 28.9%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.9%
Turnover 12.2% 21.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 12.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MARQ KSU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 31.9%